Methodology for private-market evidence

PUBLIC · REPRODUCIBLE

58 observations · three downloadable cores · four provenance classes · zero forced consensus values

Check the work—not merely the number

Economic comparability

A comparison is permitted only to the extent that the investor is receiving economically equivalent exposure. When structures differ, the result is labeled limited, structurally different or non-equivalent rather than forced into a ranking.

Selected ruleEvidence-boundInvestor decision rule
Comparison statusNot testedPin two evidence objects to compare
Audit stateSOURCE-LINKEDVerified July 10, 2026 · public calculation and evidence rules
Depth
Landscape view

Evidence-to-conclusion operating system

Select a rule. The conclusion, comparison tray, workflow and dataset audit layer update together.

01Core publication rule

Value provenance

Every material value is classified as observed, normalized, calculated or interpreted.

4Classes
ProhibitedSilent transformation
02Temporal integrity

Time and freshness

Effective, publication, collection and verification dates are separate analytical fields.

4Date types
Historical onlyStale evidence
03Investor decision rule

Economic comparability

Headline price is insufficient. Security, ownership, rights, costs, dilution, liquidity and date basis must align.

InsufficientShare price alone
RequiredOwnership basis
04Publication boundary

Missing evidence and rankings

Zero, unknown and not observed are distinct states. Missing terms remain missing.

0Invented values
0Forced rankings
05Calculation rule

Normalization discipline

Normalization changes basis only when the transformation is disclosed, reproducible and supported by sourced inputs.

DisclosedFormula
PreservedRaw value
06Modeling rule

Scenarios are not forecasts

User-controlled entry, fees, carry, dilution and exit assumptions are exploratory scenarios.

VisibleInputs
RequiredFormula trail
SX-01Company-specific rule

SpaceX split normalization

Pre-May-4-2026 common prices are divided by five; preferred marks require the separately disclosed ten-to-one common-equivalent step before the five-to-one split.

5:12026 split
10:1 then 5:1Preferred conversion
SX-02Company-specific adjudication

Resolved: underwriter option

The June 15 Form 8-K confirms full exercise: 83,333,333 additional shares and 13,159,198,508 actual post-offering shares.

83,333,333Additional shares
638,888,888Total IPO shares
SX-03Company-specific adjudication

Resolved: Baron XML totals

Independent XML extraction found five SpaceX positions in each filing and preserved common and preferred security bases separately.

$3.110BDec 2025 total
$3.890BMar 2026 total

Economic comparability

A comparison is permitted only to the extent that the investor is receiving economically equivalent exposure.

Evidence boundary

When structures differ, the result is labeled limited, structurally different or non-equivalent rather than forced into a ranking.

SpaceX datasetOpenAI datasetAnthropic datasetEconomic comparabilityMissing evidence and rankings